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The ‘Braxit’ of Bolsonaro

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Once the victory of Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil’s dissected presidential elections. Analysts put aside the escape to concentrate now on The ‘Braxit’ of Bolsonaro, which may show the future holds for the country.

The director of the Institute of Social Studies Tricontinental, Vijay Prashad, tries to answer in an article for the Indian media NewsClick to the question of what geopolitical consequences will the presidency of Bolsonaro, especially the possibility that Brazil leaves the BRICS group. – a possible Braxit – and seek its integration into the OECD, an objective that had already been expressed by its predecessor in office, Michel Temer.

The-braxit-of-bolsonaro – Jair Bolsonaro.

According to Prashad, Brazilian diplomats believe that Brazil cannot afford to hastily leave the group that forms together with Russia, India, China, and South Africa. Without suffering economic or political damages. Even if Bolsonaro gives more importance to the ideological and does not hide his interest in which the country returns to the US orbit.

Besides, the Indian analyst points out that Bolsonaro’s Brazil will surely become a base to wage a “hybrid war against Venezuela and Bolivia.”

From the pages of La Vanguardia, the newspaper’s flying correspondent. Andy Robinson tries to unravel the keys to the braxit of Bolsonaro phenomenon with an interview with Luiz Eduardo Soares, the author of Elite da Tropa. The book on which the well-known film Tropa de Elite was based(José Padilha, 2007).

“Bolsonaro’s rhetoric will allow intensification of police violence; the police are waiting for that moment to feel free to act, “laments Soares, who fears that the relaxation of the laws promised by the new Brazilian president will end up producing” a bloodbath.”

Regarding The ‘Braxit’ of Bolsonaro

It should remember that between 2013 and 2017 some 13,387 people died at the hands of the police in the state of Rio, about seven a day, mainly in the favelas. That same day we learned from the Brazilian media that in the new Chamber of Deputies of Brazil the number of doctors and professors is falling among the deputies and increases that of evangelical leaders (from 11 to 19) and that of police and military (from 19 to 28), although the majority of the 513 parliamentarians are businessmen or business managers (135) and lawyers (102).

The data disseminated by Folha de S. Paulo, one of the media that is in the crosshairs of Bolsonaro, which has already declared that it intends to withdraw public aid so that the newspaper “finished.”

The legacy of Merkel

Angela Merkel
The 'Braxit' of Bolsonaro

As a side note from The ‘Braxit’ of Bolsonaro. Much has been said about the announcement of Angela Merkel not to stand for re-election in 2021 and leave the direction of his party, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU). Behind the portraits too often glorified of the chancellor – an exception is the one made by Rafael Poch-de-Feliu for CTXT – a very different reality is hidden.

The weekly Der Spiegel echoed, for example, a study by the Institute for Economic and Social Research (WSI) of the Hans Böckler Foundation, belonging to the German Federation of Trade Unions (DGB), held at 11,000 households since 1991 and according to which poverty persistent has gone from 3.1% in the nineties to 5.4%and the poverty rate, from 11.19% to 16.79%.

“Poverty is a poison whose effects are felt in the long term and are for long, and who falls into poverty immediately marginalized from society,” says the weekly. The DGB calls for measures to close the growing social gap, including reducing long-term unemployment, offering more and better educational opportunities to children of affected families and facilitating family reconciliation measures.

The ‘Braxit’ of Bolsonaro – November 9

November 9 is an extraordinary date in Germany. On November 9, 1989, the transit between the two Germanies opened, and the fall of the Berlin Wall began. Another November 9, in 1938, the Nazis held the night of the broken glass ( Kristallnacht ). The newspaper Junge Welt vindicates another November 9, of which this year we get the number one hundred: one of the insurrections of the sailors in Kiel.

The riot began in the port of Wilhelmshaven on November 3, followed by the formation of soldiers’ councils and triggered a series of events that he unleashed in the so-called November Revolution and the proclamation of the republic.

Double: at 14:00 the social democrat Philipp Scheidemann proclaimed the German Republic from a balcony of the Reichstag, and two hours later the Spartacist Karl Liebknecht did the same a few hundred meters away with the name of Socialist Republic of Germany.

Of the 1989 anniversary, by the way, we learned from an investigation by Radio Berlin Brandenburg (RBB) that the actual death toll from the Berlin Wall is lower than the official one.

Of the 327 victims of the report commissioned by the German Government in 2012. At least 50 people could have been included incorrectly, including several agents of the border guard of the GDR who committed suicide for different reasons and that of a former member of the Waffen-SS, executed in Moscow after trying to flee to West Germany to avoid being tried for war crimes.

In neighboring Austria, meanwhile, the debate continues regarding the decision of the coalition government between conservatives and the radical right to abandon the UN Global Compact for Migration.

The measure has not only been rejected by social democrats and greens, who argue that it harms the international image of Austria – Vienna is one of the four venues of the United Nations together with New York, Geneva, and Nairobi – but also by Austrian People’s Party politicians.

(ÖVP) Of Chancellor Sebastian Kurz, as former Vice-Chancellor Erhard Busek or MEP Othmar Karas, as reported by the newspaper Kurier. The FPÖ and the groups on their right, like the so-called Identities, celebrate the decision as a victory instead, according to Petra Stuiber for Der Standard.

On Wednesday there were protest marches in Vienna against the Minister of the Interior, Herbert Kickl, and on Thursday, against the Government.

France: a lap with secularism

Emmanuel Macron.
The Braxit of Bolsonaro
France made news this week for several reasons. Such as Macron’s call to create a “true European Army” with which to protect itself from “China, Russia, and even the US.”

The taking in custody of six people linked to the far right who planned to attack the French president or the controversial inclusion of Marshal Philippe Pétain in a tribute to the military that led France to “victory” in the First World War. However, there has been much more.

Macron promised reforms on his arrival at the Elysee Palace, and Monday Le Monde reported the possibility of one of them, which would consist of the amendment of the constitutional law which separates the Church and the State of 1905.

The ‘Braxit’ of Bolsonaro – The advise

According to an adviser to the president, the objective of the reform of this law, considered one of the pillars of the secularism of the French State, is to “make the managers of places of worship aware of their responsibilities, to prevent [extreme] drifts and reduce foreign influence “of particular States, parastatal and even private actors.

Granting more autonomy to local associations. Which will nevertheless demand greater financial transparency. Forcing them to notify contributions of more than 10,000 euros and reserving the State the right to veto.

The president of the National Association, Marine Le Pen, responded almost immediately. “To the intent of satisfying the demands of radical Islam, the government wants the skin of the 1905 law on secularism, they will find us on the road!” Le Pen wrote on his Twitter account. If the bill moves forward, Macron could engage in a debate that threatens to weigh its forecasts of intention to vote.

The week began with the news that National Association exceeds by one point to the Republic In March in the probes for the next European.

The president of France Insumisa, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, left for the moment of this debate and put the accent on the social with a visit to Marseille, where two buildings collapsed due to its poor state ending with the life of at least five people.

Several neighbors told the media that the situation of the buildings was well known for some time without the authorities doing anything. According to Mélenchon, who visited the neighborhood and spoke with those affected, throughout France there are three million buildings in poor condition, of which 400,000 have flaws and severe flaws.

Democratic socialism makes its way in the US

The Braxit of Bolsonaro

Campaign posters for the US legislative in 2018 in Texas. LOREN ELLIOTT AFP
The (congressional) Midterms of 2018 were seen as a referendum on Trump and even as a referendum on democracy itself, as Vox made the headline.

In addition to the confrontation between the Republican Party and the Democrat, this year it was convenient to put the magnifying glass on the latter by the transformations that are taking place in its midst.

In this sense, the day before the elections The Intercept dedicated a report to the attempts of the Democratic Party machinery to stop the rise of socialist candidates in his party, notably the New York Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

The editor of Jacobin, Bhaskar Sunkara, proposes to create a caucus of democratic socialists. To avoid the elected candidates representing this current end up being co-opted by what he calls “corporate Democrats” since they are very close to the business world.

“Today most politicians coming from the elite, are financed by large corporations and choose their ideas of lobbies with business interests.” Writer Sunkara, who maintains that with a caucus socialist.” We can choose working-class politicians, bring them together, find alternative funding channels, found research institutes that help them design policies and empower civil society to make real change.”

The editor of Jacobin even believes that “eventually, it will be necessary to form an independent party. With roots in jobs and streets, that is capable of threatening capital in its foundations.”

“America voted, and the weather lost.” Thus The New Republic titled an article that lamented the results of the elections from an ecological perspective.

“Democrats did not get the blue tide wanted. But it got worse for environmentalists, no green tide. And this ended up partly due to the record amounts invested by the fossil fuel industry in opposing environmental initiatives.

But also to the failure of the Democratic Party to draw attention to the phenomenon. “Said, Emily Atkin. The author recalled how, in addition to the reelection of several climate change deniers. Colorado voters refused to limit fracking, those of Arizona, increase renewable energies, and those of Washington. Create a tax on carbon that would have been a pioneer in the country.

– A possible braxit of bolsonaro – and seek its integration in the OECD. An objective that had already expressed his predecessor in charge, Michel Temer.

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